Expert-Grup

Estimating the Impact of a Possible Russian Embargo on Wine Imports from Moldova

Dezvoltare ruralăPolitici de creștere economicăTuesday, 22 February 201121903 views

Automatically translated summary. The full text is available in Romanian.

This study from the Independent Think Tank “Expert-Grup” examines Moldova's wine sector and assesses what a possible new Russian embargo on imports of alcoholic products from the Republic of Moldova would mean for the economy. It uses an Applied General Equilibrium Model to simulate the systemic impact of such a measure.

The study first reviews the current state of Moldova's wine-growing and winemaking sector. It identifies the main problems and constraints that hold back the sector's development.

It then applies an Applied General Equilibrium Model to estimate the system-wide effects of a new embargo introduced by the Russian Federation on alcoholic products from the Republic of Moldova. The simulation results show that such a shock would add to the difficulties already facing the sector, but would not be catastrophic. The full text of the document is available only in English.