Expert-Grup

Moldova's Macroeconomic Resilience in the Context of Regional Security: Prospects and Vulnerabilities Presented at an Expert-Grup Round Table

Tuesday, 28 January 20259804 views
Moldova's Macroeconomic Resilience in the Context of Regional Security: Prospects and Vulnerabilities Presented at an Expert-Grup Round Table

Automatically translated summary. The full article is available in Romanian.

The Independent Think Tank “Expert-Grup” hosted a round table on the macroeconomic resilience of the Republic of Moldova amid regional and global security threats. The event brought together economists, policy experts, government officials, embassy and donor representatives and civil society to assess the country's exposure to external shocks and policy options.

Discussions drew on Expert-Grup's country report and highlighted two worrying trends: rising macroeconomic volatility as growth potential erodes, and shocks that are becoming more frequent and intense while vulnerabilities sharpen. Experts ranked ten vulnerabilities, with acute dependence on imported energy rated the most severe (-5). Erosion of growth potential, budget imbalances, a high current account deficit and trade dependence on Ukraine, Belarus and Russia each scored -4.

Tatiana Ivanicichina of the National Bank of Moldova stressed prudent monetary policy, SEPA accession and economic diversification. Marek Dabrowski of CASE (Poland) noted that Russia's aggression against Ukraine hurt Moldova through trade, energy, transport and investment. Adrian Lupușor said the report aims to analyse recent shocks and set policy priorities. The event was supported by Open Society Foundation.

View the original article in Romanian